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Business & Economic Review
Rapid and sustainable business growth is
hard. You are working to meet the needs of
a present that never really exists and a
future that you can't count on. As the
demands get greater and greater the supply
of sanity seems to evaporate.
Any business runs off of resources. Some
of them come from you, some from others,
but there are always limits. Growth gets
out of control, gets that insane feeling,
when the demand outstrips access to three
specific resources: Time, People, and
Money. Your resources have to be budgeted
and invested wisely. The key to sane and
sustainable growth is how you invest your
resources. This article discusses what and
where to invest. It is excerpted from Warp
Speed, a book that continues with how to
invest.
What Restricts the Growth of Your
Business?
Disgusting as it may be, your business
can't do everything. Each business has
limits and so does each entrepreneur and
manager. From a startup to a market leader
each company makes choices about what they
will and will not try to do. This applies
to:
- Time (what the leaders hope that they
can get done in a given quarter or
year)
- People (what the company can hope to do
with the abilities and bandwidth the staff
has) and
- Money (what each effort or project gets
to spend.)
The choices are critical. A mistake can
send your business into bankruptcy. The
correct decision can make things work for
you for years. The choices never stop
because as you grow at warp speed, there
are never enough resources.
The task of the person who manages or owns
a growing business is simple to state. You
not only have to do things right, you have
to make sure you are only doing the right
things. How you allocate your resources is
the key to that.
What Happens When You Grow
Fast?
Growth creates a special period for your
business. You take orders faster. You have
to build them faster. Then you have to
ship more orders in same time.
Simultaneously you have to find more
materials. You need more people to catch
up to the new level of activities, and it
takes time to find them. When you find
them, it costs more to get them.
While you do this, your infrastructure
becomes stressed. Your building is full.
There are not enough electrical outlets or
pads of paper. Tactical issues get in the
way all day long. Your systems are
inadequate and you need time to choose new
ones and more time to install them. Then,
you and the people you rely on need space
to learn how they operate and then tailor
and debug them.
As the product ships, you need more
service people. And since you have more
customers, you need to listen more often.
You need more marketing people. And since
they have good ideas, you'll need more
product development people to put the new
ideas into a form that you can deliver.
And if the product needs to be tested,
more people and time to test it. Then you
need people who can sell both the old and
the new product. They need to be trained,
and managed. The faster you grow, the
faster this all happens.
As you grow, there is more pressure to
grow again. Funders and potential
employees like to see rapid growth.
All of this takes money too, but as you
look at what needs to be done the money
seems and is the least of it. You expect
everyone to work sixty or eighty hours per
week and it is not enough. Time looms as
the hardest resource to manage and
keep.
With no growth you can predict your
resource needs. You can anticipate time
demands and respond accordingly. Your time
is under your control. However, when you
decide to grow your ability to anticipate
goes down as the need to invest
increases.
Chart A
(Graph, resource requirements grow
logarithmically as growth increases from
gradual state to extreme and as
predictability sinks.)
Wisely Investing Your Resources
Time, People, and Money are the three
critical resources to invest in your
growth. These are the currencies that buy
you opportunity.
Your Key Resources:
Time,
People,
Money
You do not have infinite money, people, or
time. Instead, there is not enough of any
to do what you want this year. You have
the choice to either allocate resources or
let them go to the first person who
asks.
Rapid growth tends to create resource
allocation by noise. Just as the noisiest
wheel gets greased, the noisiest requestor
gets the resource. As the volume of
requests increases you lose your ability
to hear what is right and your ability to
wisely and sanely manage your business.
You start to get that out of control
feeling.
The best response to these demands is not
to invest resources on demand but to
invest them according to priorities.
You'll recognize the same pattern with
cash - balancing the use of money to
maximize the return to the business.
While developing a pharmaceutical drug, a
marketing manager might want to increase
initial sales by offering the compound as
a pill, an injectable form, and a capsule.
You only have so many people capable of
designing delivery systems. The decision
to offer one or all three is an investment
decision where for people are the
currency.
Time can also be spent or invested. If you
recently attended a meeting that did not
seem to do much good for you or your work,
what could you have done differently with
that hour?
To create and dominate a market you'll
want to choose a point in time to enter
the market. The time required to prepare
will be a critical resource. You'll need
to respond to market changes and
competitive threats quickly. If you hear
that a competitor is thinking of entering,
you'll need time to consider what barriers
to erect or whether to abandon the market.
Then you'll need time to take action, even
if it is as simple as raising a price on a
web site. Time is a rate controlling
factor to successful strategy.
Which is the Most Valuable
Resource?
You can trade these three resources
(money, people, and time) back and forth.
For example, with more good people, you
gain some time for your own work but with
people who need undue attention, that time
is lost. The opportunities for tradeoffs
are nearly infinite. The fastest way to
avoid wasting time is to set your resource
priorities in advance. Of the three, time
is the most critical. People are second.
Money is third. This becomes part of the
expressed vision of your business. It
guides your investment decisions. Think of
each as a scarce resource. Consider how
difficult it is to get more of any of the
three or to recover from a mistake with
any of them.
Getting Money
Getting money is never easy, but there are
hundreds of ways to recover from a sudden
need. You can steal from some other
budget. You can ask for more cash. You can
delay another project. You can sell
something. You can go to venture or angel
markets. You can borrow the money from
institutions or friends. You can slow pay
vendors. For both small and large
organizations there are many ways to
recover from a cash problem in a few
months. It is not so easy for a person
problem.
Getting People
If you make a mistake in hiring, it takes
much longer to correct. If you hired the
wrong person (or the job outgrew him or
her) you won't know for months or longer.
Then you have to either help the person to
grow into the job or move out of it.
Either takes even more months (or years in
some organizations.) If you move someone
out, you still have to find the right
replacement, consuming more time. It
hampers the growth of your business. Any
mistake in people, no matter who is at
fault, is expensive to rapid growth.
You'll recover, but the price is months or
years.
Buying Time
But what if you lose time? There are only
60 to 100 hours in a work week. When they
are gone, they can't be replaced. There is
no process by which you can buy back the
hours or add them into another week or
year. You are without that time forever,
there is no recovery. There is always a
finite limit to the amount anyone can
process. No matter how hard you push a
person and organization can only carry so
much in a given time, there will always be
limits to bandwidth. Time is the most
limited and perishable resource. Your task
in managing growth is to find ways to use
the resource in the best possible way.
Which area you err in determines how hard
it is to recover
The Currencies of Opportunity
When you invest Time, People, and Money
poorly it costs you opportunity. This
could be a chance to roll out new products
and services, an option to adjust your
cost structure, the occasion to increase
dominance in the market you are in now.
The most expensive opportunity cost is the
cost of not being able to define and then
dominate a new market. New markets are
hard - the chance of failure is all too
real. To do it right you'll need as much
resource as you can conserve.
The currencies of opportunities are people
and especially time. You cannot buy a new
market or customer with cash. It takes
good people to find the opportunities, and
they need time to think in order to take
advantage of them.
Growth requires fuel. No business or
organization can grow without enough.
These resources are the fuel for your
growth. Too little money and the right
things cannot get done. Too few of the
right people and the money and time become
unimportant. Too little time and all the
money and people are useless. Many
problems will not respond to more staff
and funding. As Frederick Brooks points
out, "The bearing of a child takes nine
months, no matter how many women are
assigned." Time is the most restrictive of
all the resources. When you are growing
wisely you are conserving time as much as
possible and investing it as wisely as you
know how. You are making your growth
sustainable.
Gradual Growth
The most important characteristic of
gradual growth is that you can plan for
it. You can predict a need for money or
people to meet a project or customer
requirement. This allows you to forecast
your needs well in advance. You can get
resource in time and at a reasonable
cost.
For example, if you have new products
coming, you can forecast the need for new
salespeople and at what point you should
have them in place. Need salespeople about
six months before the new product is ready
to deliver? You can look for them in
advance and do it at a reasonable cost. If
necessary, you can choose to wait a little
for the right people to come along at the
right price.
Gradual growth is like building a
skyscraper from a complete set of
drawings. The business follows a plan and
runs according to the plan. You spend your
time on plans to fill this building with
profitable tenants and to construct the
next skyscraper.
Rapid Growth
Rapid growth is harder to plan for. Like a
fast track building, you are working
without complete drawings. As you build
the third floor, the architect is still
doing the work to design the upper floors.
You'll get done faster, but you'll spend
considerably more energy and money. You'll
make some mistakes and invest resource in
some poor places. Those costs come with
rapid growth. The result is good though
&emdash; each floor sits on top of the
previous one and you get use of the
building sooner than if you are more
deliberate. You make a trade, investing
more of your time and money to get quicker
returns. Of course, you need to make sure
you maintain enough quality to support the
return.
In the new product example, you know the
need for sales people is coming, but you
don't really have the time to get the
sales team lined up in advance. You
compromise. Perhaps you use outside reps
or hire people who have more or less
experience than you need. You do not have
enough salespeople yet, so you work
overtime. Consider this, if you or the
Vice President of Sales are up late
writing a proposal, does this really save
you money? You have expensive resources
doing work that would cost less if you
could just do a little more planning. You
don't get twice the work accomplished for
that higher cost but you do get it done on
time.
Often, it's the perfect trade off. You
invest more time and money to get into a
market sooner than if you are more
deliberate. If you are an early entrant or
a dominant one, that investment may give
you excellent returns.
You are always paying a premium for rapid
growth. You are running the business while
you try to plan at the same time. It is a
juggling act. If you are not careful,
you'll drop balls. The biggest danger of
rapid growth is that you'll miss an
opportunity because you are moving too
fast.
Unsustainable Growth
Sometimes growth goes out of your control.
Instead of you running your business
&emdash; it runs you. You are doing things
that you never planned and they cost a lot
of time, people, and money that you didn't
allocate and can ill afford.
If you are building that office building
you can't build on top of the new stories,
you just didn't have the right
reinforcement in the lower floors. Instead
of going up, you find yourself adding
wings and extensions that were never
planned. They don't really match, and yeah
it looks ugly, but you got it done.
If you are launching a product, you find
yourself adding and deleting features
right up to the last minute. The marketing
team is trying to get sales to call on the
best long term customers first. Under
pressure to perform quickly, the sales
team is calling on whomever they think
might generate a sale. The development and
support teams are wondering how they are
going to deliver even half of what
marketing and sales are promising. They
may never get the product quite right, but
they will work lots of hours to backtrack
and recreate as they keep up. Doing and
redoing is common and everyone takes it
for granted. Now you have your key players
working harder but doing the wrong things.
It costs more time, people, and money but
that is the price of extreme growth. It's
ugly but you get it done.
The gamble is that you'll be better
positioned for the future, and that it
will be worth it to burn off resources now
to be there tomorrow, wherever there is.
The cost is high. You not only miss
opportunities, you miss details that you
need to take best advantage of the
opportunities you are working right
now.
In this growth you may trade customer
satisfaction for time. When Netscape was
independent it would release early
versions of the browser product whether or
not the product was fully tested. The
growth rate demanded that people work
around the clock, even sleep below their
desks. It became the consumer's
responsibility to wait or to do Netscape's
testing. The same phenomenon has been
reported with large turbine engines. In an
attempt to deliver more turbines faster
the suppliers are reported to have cut
back on testing, letting the user perform
the tests in return for early
delivery.
Extreme growth eats up resources faster
than you want to know. It is not just
money. It is people and time. People and
time can help create and respond to other
opportunities. What happens to a business
when it cannot create and respond to
opportunities? It is unsustainable, and
you are hurting your business.
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